2006/08/30

[0608] 中國掛黑道也挺扁?

在施明德與黑道掛勾,白狼張安樂欲派遣黑道天使隊替施明德護航的消息曝光之後,施明德的倒扁行動已經蒙上了一層揮之不去的陰(黑)影。

原本泛藍活動差不多每次都有黑道參與,關於這點,很奇怪地,台灣人好像是不關痛養(反正死別人不是死自己),譬如說去年連宋訪中的「機場事件」,挺綠的老伯伯被一群挺藍的黑衣青少年圍毆到頭破血流,這種違背倫理、破壞治安、對法治公然挑戰的恐怖份子的行為,好像台灣社會並沒有為此激起多大的漣漪,而民進黨政府對這類暴行的批判與執行法律制裁的動力不足,也讓人覺得民進黨並無決心消除恐怖氣氛的擴張。

這樣的環境,使得不惜採用暴力手段的恐怖份子看到,使用暴力手段在這個社會是被通融、被接受的,等於是變相鼓勵、滋長了暴力行為的質與量。

於是乎,我們終於看到,中華統一促進黨的主席林正杰,在全國觀眾都看得到的電視機前,以不斷地拳打腳踢的暴力行為,將挺綠學者金恆煒打到鼻梁斷裂,縫了五針。

原本,對於以往「泛藍的群眾運動有黑道參與」的情形,泛藍從來沒有拒絕過,更別說發動媒體予以譴責。而對於已經被報導幾天的「施明德請白狼當護衛」的消息,彷彿也不怎麼在意。

而林正杰這一個電視機前面公然施暴的行為,卻似乎讓泛藍自己也起了警覺心。我們看到施明德的反扁總部開始努力撇清與白狼與林正杰的關係,然根據白狼的說法,卻是施明德找林正杰去要求白狼出面保護他。然後有了底下這一則令人啼笑皆非的報導:

> 不只倒扁! 天使隊挺扁也出面
2006-08-27 13:07

宣稱會出面維持靜坐秩序的天使護衛隊到底組成份子是什麼?外界一直有疑慮,林正杰說,這裡面不只有男天使還有女天使,平時隱身各行各業,不輕易暴露身份,有活動才會穿黑衣出現,而且他們不只會參加倒扁,挺扁也會出面。

白狼張安樂號召的天使隊,有女天使,她們的背景如何?天使護衛隊成員許琳珍:「你看我們像那個(黑道),我們是良家婦女,妳們(天使隊),給人家的印象, 不是這樣子,日久見人心,天使這2個字,顧名思義就是天使。」

以柔和的方式維持秩序,而且隊規第一條就規定,罵不還口,打不還手,以和平守護為宗旨。更強調身家清白,因為警方始終懷疑成員複雜,中華統一促進黨主席林正杰特別強調,天使隊隱身行各業,而且不管挺扁或反扁,都會出來維持秩序。

號稱成員超過5百人的天使護衛隊,平常手機簡訊聯絡,採小隊長制,林正杰說他們全是義工,接獲簡訊會統一穿上黑衣站在活動最前線,保護受委託人安全,只是現在倒扁的不歡迎他們,挺扁的也沒有打算要求他們保護,讓外界懷疑天使隊什麼時候正式登場。

這篇報導來自TVBS,撰稿人連名字都不敢附上,文中一再強調,黑道的天使隊『即使挺扁也會相助』,明眼人一看就知道是為了要跟「反扁」做切割所捏造的假文。

這種粗糙的、卑劣的伎倆只會令人笑掉大牙。同時呈現的,是泛藍人士向來活動中所呈現的暴力傾向,已經開始有另泛藍擔憂的「反作用」的效果,要不然泛藍不會去做這種種撇清行為。

2006/08/22

[0608] Shih's possible armed insurgency?

Shih's possible armed insurgency?

Recently DPP's ex-president Shih Ming-Te had a journelist conference, asking Taiwanese to pay him (total 100 million New Taiwan dollars) for anti-bian movement. This is very weird. First of all, recalling of a president is a given right for Taiwanese. Why the hell do people need to pay Shih in order to exercise the right that they already have ?

Secondly, Shih opened personal accounts and receive so much money, but he never mentioned how he is gonna use that money. Besides the sitting-in, he simply said he has it all planned. What does he really have in mind?

Thirdly, suppose that he is gonna organize huge demonstration. But, in his anti-bian website (*), he said to the public clearly:

# We don't want any flag (national flags, party flags, campaign flags, school flags, faction flags)
# We don't welcome any campaign props and ads (campaign jackets, party jackets...)
# 我們不要任何其他旗幟:國旗、黨旗、競選旗、校旗、派系旗,都不要。
# 我們不歡迎任何競選道具和廣告;競選背心、助選背心、政黨背心,都不要。

He said it out loud that he is not gonna invest the donated money on things that are usually needed for a political demonstration.

Then ... besides a demonstration, what else can he do, with that whole chunk of money ?

Suddenly I was hit by an old memory. In Shih's teenage, he determined to enter the army school. In Taiwan, the popular perception is that only whoever fails the entrance exam to normal schools would consider entering an army school. So very very few Taiwanese would devote his/her career to the army. Shih did that, and from the documents disclosed later, we know that he did that because he wanted to learn how to organize people for an armed coup to overthrow the KMT government. It seems to reveal his characteristics: whatever he doesn't agree, he wouldn't hesitate going extreme with violence.

Other than the inborn nature, it would need a combination of many other factors for one to choose a violent means. For example, when one is in a high position in government, is very rich, is well-respected in the society ... etc, considering a violent means might turn a wonderful life into jail time or even death and thus lose all feasts, it's less likely that he would do so.

Judging Shih's life in recent years -- being discarded by Taiwanese (failed a campaign of legislator miserably), being kept distant by DPP members and pan-green supporters (he is going closer and closer to the pan-blue side), has to rely on KMT's support to live (according to his ex-wife Linda)... he is in the brim of total collapse, in terms of almost all sides of life (position, reputation, wealth ...). Comparing to his life ten years ago, at that time he was well respected as a hero in the Taiwan's democratic history, the combination of all those abjection courses could cast a higher chance for him to 'light a fire' in the late age of his life, which would fit his teenager dream perfectly.


* Shih's anti-bian web: http://www.newtaiwan.org.tw/
$ This article in manderinhttp://echotaiwan.blogspot.com/2006/08/blog-post.html
! This article in "anti-media" http://www.anti-media.tw/phpBB/viewtopic.php?t=15221

[0608] 慎防施明德武裝暴動

近日民進黨前主席施明德為了反扁召開記者會,要求台灣人付錢給他讓他反扁。這是個很不尋常的舉動。一來,「罷免總統」是人民應有的權利,享用你原來就有的權利,為什麼要付錢給施明德?因此這個錢收得很奇怪。

二者,施明德收了那麼多錢,但卻未曾跟付錢者交代他打算怎麼花錢。他除了說要靜坐以外,只說,山人自有妙計。這妙計到底是什麼呢?

三者,假設他想搞群眾運動好了,但在他的倒扁網站上(註一),卻清楚明白地告訴民眾:一般群眾運動所需的旗幟、衣服等必要支出都要省下,也就是說,倒扁捐款不會用在群眾運動支出上。

那。。。民主法治外的「倒扁行動」,除了「群眾運動」外,還會有什麼可能性?

我突然想起來,施明德早年立志要念軍校。台灣人立志從軍的很少,從後來的文件知道,他當年從軍的主要目的,是要學習軍隊的組織與運作,以做為武裝推翻國民黨的基礎。可見,施明德對他看不爽的事情,有「不惜武裝一戰」的革命性格。

一個人會採取暴動的手段,除了「革命性格」之外,還要有「外在條件」配合。譬如說,假如一個人在政府中當高官、在社會中享有崇高的地位、手邊有無盡的財富。。。這些「享受」都「令他滿意」的時候,在考慮到暴動可能使他由「享受」變成「坐牢」甚至「死亡」而喪失所有的享受時,那儘管再怎麼有革命性格,恐怕不會想要走極端。

從這個角度來看施明德近幾年所面臨的「外在條件」。施明德當年以台灣英雄之姿進入立法院,結果常常熬夜泡酒家導致缺席不開會,在立法院立委出席率排名倒數有名,長期的怠惰失職與私生活的不檢點,終使他在 2001年的立委選舉中被選民所唾棄。接下來的言論,漸漸偏離了泛綠色彩,也與泛藍人士來往更加密切。而這回跳出來呼應泛藍的倒扁期望進行募款,就有傳出他這舉動是為了還債,也許是個人欠債,也許是利用民眾匯款時交給銀行的手續費來抵還貸款(報載銀行光是手續費就可以收入千萬)。

可以想見,施明德近幾年的生活,不管是名聲、地位、財富,都可以用「落魄」來形容。這樣的「外在條件的落魄」,配上他的「革命性格」,可謂是火上加油,「鋌而走險」的事情,是很可能發生的。換言之,施明德很可能用募來的款項購買武器,以他年輕時夢想著的「武裝暴動」,在他生命中的「日落西山」之時,燃起另一道火花。民進黨政府應該審慎評估這個可能性,並 早做提防。

日前報載施明德可能用「自焚」來作為反扁的激烈手段。這應該是不太可能發生的。畢竟很難想像一個沈溺於物質享受的的人會去自焚來犧牲一切。更何況,自焚只需一根火柴加一桶汽油,不需要台灣人付他一億元台幣吧?

註一:施明德倒扁網站 http://www.newtaiwan.org.tw/
註二:此文在媒抗:http://www.anti-media.tw/phpBB/viewtopic.php?t=15221